By- Suzie-Q @ 10:00 AM MST
9/20 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 50, McCain 42
Daily Kos- by DemFromCT
Sat Sep 20, 2008 at 05:09:37 AM PDT
Today’s Daily Kos Research 2000 tracking poll has Obama up by over McCain 50-42 (LV, MoE +/- 3).
Notable is Sarah Palin’s – 7 fav/unfav, and McCain’s – 1, suggesting further erosion in that ticket’s standing (see trendlines.)
McCain made two mistakes; one was calling the economy “fundamentally sound” on Black Monday, the other was picking Sarah Palin to be his VP (this week highlighted her weak points. Being able to see Russia from her house isn’t going to help the markets any.)
Charles Blow of the NY Times has as good an explanation as any, based on the CBS/NY Times poll:
When those Republicans were asked what they liked least about [Palin], they started to sound more like everyone else. Aside from those who said that there was nothing they didn’t like, next on the list were: her lack of experience, her record as governor and her lack of foreign-policy experience.
Also, most Republicans think you only picked her to help with the election, not because she is qualified, and a third said that they would be “concerned” if for some reason she actually had to serve as president.
And Palin is proving to be just as vacant as people suspected.
It’s Charles Blow, so there’s a cool graphic to go with it. What’s important about the Blow opinion is that it is informed opinion, based on his paper’s polling data and supported by our own tracker’s 24 point fav/unfav drop in 9 days (which is also accompanied by a 12 point drop in McCain’s.) This isn’t just “Palin coming back to earth,” as alleged by her media supporters. She started out the same as Obama and Biden but now there are significant differences between what’s happened to Obama-Biden and McCain-Palin as one ticket stays steady and the other goes south.
If you check the pundit round-up, you’ll see plenty of other opinion recognizing that Palin is, in fact, a drag on the ticket.
Weekend polling often favors McCain, so it’ll be Tues or Wed before we see how this all shakes out. R2K is today, the other trackers are yesterday.
Obama McCain MoE +/- RV/LV
Research 2000: 50 42 3 LV
Diageo/Hotline: 45 44 3.2 RV
Rasmussen: 48 48 2 LV
Gallup: 49 44 2 RV
Other points of interest are the three day individual R2K topline numbers (Obama was +8, +8, +7.) Gallup, who has Obama up 49-44 yesterday, noted
Obama enjoyed one of his widest advantages over McCain of recent weeks in Thursday night’s interviewing.
Hotline’s numbers tightened while Rasmussen’s stayed flat. Meanwhile the markets (Intrade, Rasmussen) have flipped in Obama’s favor by ~51-48.
The tight race remains tight.
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