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Daily Kos
Public Policy Polling, 1000 registered voters, MoE ±3.1%, June  7, 2012 – June 10, 2012.

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided
All 50 42 8
Women 53 39 8
Men 48 44 8
Democrat 86 9 5
Republican 8 84 8
Independent/Other 48 40 12
Liberal 79 13 8
Moderate 64 27 9
Conservative 21 72 7
White 43 49 7
African-American 84 13 3
Asian 79 19 2
Hispanic 53 32 15

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By Charles Dharapak, AP

USA TODAY
Mar 30, 2012
By David Jackson, USA TODAY
Updated  3d 8h ago

Another poll, another big lead for President Obama in a swing state — and more evidence he is benefiting from a growing gender gap.Obama leads Mitt Romney by 52%-35% in Wisconsin, according to a new NBC News/Marist Poll — thanks in large part to a 25-point lead among women voters, 55%-30%.

The president leads Republican candidate Rick Santorum by 51%-38% in Wisconsin, the poll says.

Obama’s approval rating is 50% in Wisconsin, a state he carried easily in 2008.

The Wisconsin numbers come the same week that a Quinnipiac Poll gives Obama leads in the swing states of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida — again with significant leads among women voters.

“Women back the president over Romney or Santorum by 6 to 19 percentage points in the three states,” Quinnipiac reports.

Obama’s strength among women voters comes after weeks of news coverage about such issues as health insurance coverage for contraceptives. The political battles have included objections by the Catholic Church to Obama policies on contraception coverage.

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Pew Research Center

Released: March 29, 2012

The gender gap in presidential politics is not new. Democratic candidates have gotten more support from women than men formore than 30 years. Even so, Barack Obama’s advantages among women voters over his GOP rivals are striking.

In the Pew Research Center’s most recent national survey, conducted March 7-11, Obama led Mitt Romney by 20 points (58% to 38%) among women voters. It marked the second consecutive month that Obama held such a wide advantage over Romney among women (59% to 38% in February). In both February and March, Obama ran about even with Romney among men.

In the March survey, Obama’s overall lead over Rick Santorum was 18 points. Fully 61% of women voters said they would favor Obama in a matchup with Santorum, compared with just 35% who backed the former Pennsylvania senator.

The gender gap – the difference in support for a candidate among women and men – is about as wide today as it was at this point in the campaign four years ago. In March 2008, both Democratic candidates, Obama and Hillary Clinton, had narrower overall leads over John McCain than Obama has today. Obama ran about even with McCain among men, but he led by 14 points among women (53% to 39%). Clinton trailed among men, yet also led by 14 points among women.

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WASHINGTON | Mon Feb 6, 2012 2:32pm EST

(Reuters) – President Barack Obama – bolstered by a stronger economic outlook and recent job growth – would win in a match-up against the two leading Republican presidential candidates Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, a poll on Monday showed.

A Washington Post-ABC News survey of 1,000 adults found that, for the first time, Obama’s prospects have brightened against his potential rivals as his overall job approval rating climbed on his handling of the slowly recovering economy.

If the election were held now, Obama would win 51 percent of the vote compared to 45 percent for Romney, the former Massachusetts governor and current Republican frontrunner, according to the poll. He would win with 54 percent compared to 43 percent for Gingrich, the former speaker of the House of Representatives who has vowed to continuing seeking his party’s nomination.

The poll, conducted by telephone from February 1 through February 4, showed Obama won higher marks than Romney when it comes to protecting the middle class and taxes. Those polled also said they trusted Obama more to handle international affairs and terrorism.

But Obama and Romney tied when it came to creating jobs and more of those surveyed said they trusted Romney to handle the economy and the federal budget deficit.

In a statement, the Romney campaign’s polling strategist, Neil Newhouse, said the survey was flawed and “introduced specific negative information about Governor Romney immediately prior to asking the ballot match-up against President Obama.”

The president’s job approval rating rose to 50 percent, according to the survey, which has a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

When asked if Obama deserved a second term as president, 49 percent said yes and 49 percent said no.

In an NBC interview Sunday, Obama said he deserved another term when Americans vote in November. A jobs report on Friday showed the U.S. economy created jobs at the fastest pace in nine months in January. The unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 8.3 percent, its lowest level in three years.

(Reporting By Susan Heavey; Editing by Bill Trott)

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AFL-CIO poll: Scott Walker overreaching in WI, respondents side with unions

by– DemFromCT  for Daily Kos

Tue Feb 22, 2011 at 09:30 AM EST

A new pair of AFL-CIO polls out from GQRR show support for the protestors and dropping numbers for Gov Scott Walker.  Mark Blumenthal covers the issue:

New polling conducted for the AFL-CIO and shared with The Huffington Post shows Wisconsin voters siding with the state workers, unions and protestors by large majorities and expressing net disapproval of Republican Governor Scott Walker.

While Mark covers some of the confounders (partisan poll, union sponsored), he also notes

In this case, however, the ratings of Walker and his budget and collective bargaining proposal are roughly comparable to an automated survey conducted in Wisconsin last week by WeAskAmerica, a for-profit subsidiary of Illinois Manufacturer’s Association (an organization that has endorsed Republican candidates for state office in Illinois).

Also of interst is this tracking poll:

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Palin Unqualified To Be President, Says Vast Majority Of America

HuffPo– First Posted: 02-11-10 12:27 AM   |   Updated: 02-11-10 01:40 AM

The spotlight has been bright, not necessarily kind to former Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin.

According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, 71% of Americans do not feel that Palin is qualified to be President. That includes a sharp drop in Republican support, where 45% believe she is qualified compared to 66% who thought she was last fall.

Overall, 37% have a favorable view while 55% have an unfavorable view of the former Alaska Governor.

Palin has been able to count on support from the Tea Party, but the Washington Post indicates that the movement itself has split favorability and is poorly understood:

Nearly two-thirds of those polled say they know just some, very little or nothing about what the tea party movement stands for. About one in eight says they know “a great deal” about the positions of tea party groups, but the lack of information does not erase the appeal: About 45 percent of all Americans say they agree at least somewhat with tea partiers on issues, including majorities of Republicans and independents.

The movement’s supporters were identified as, “overwhelmingly white, mostly conservative and generally disapproving of Obama.”

If Palin intends to become a key player in Washington, she would share something in common with those already there. The poll also shows that two out of every three Americans are “dissatisfied” or “angry” at the federal government. That’s the worst result for Washington in nearly 14 years.

In another revealing question, the poll found that taxpayers estimate 53% of their money is “wasted.”

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Poll: Most Don’t Want Sarah Palin to Run for President

CBS News-  Posted by Kevin Hechtkopf

January 18, 2010 6:30 PM

A new CBS News poll finds that a large majority of Americans say they do not want former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin to run for president.

Specifically, 71 percent say they do not want the former Republican vice presidential nominee to run for president, while 21 percent say they do want her to run.

When the results are split out by party, 56 percent of Republicans say they do not want her to seek the office and 30 percent do. Meanwhile, 88 percent of Democrats do not want her to run. Among independents, 65 percent do not want her to run and 25 percent do.

The poll also finds that more people view Palin negatively than positively and that her book tour did not improve overall views of her. However, she is a little better-known now than she was last fall, and both favorable and unfavorable ratings of her have increased slightly.

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